Confidence tier Preliminary

Early, small, conflicting, or animal-only. Not actionable alone.

79% of the weight lost that returned within four weeks of stoppingMAYBEPreliminary

Apple Cider Vinegar Benefits: One Is Real, One Was Retracted

Cartoon jug of cider vinegar with a loop handle, beside the figure 79 percent

The trial behind the 2024 headlines was retracted in September 2025 — four days after a meta-analysis pooled it. Ten months on, that meta-analysis still carries no correction. What survives: a real but modest effect on post-meal blood sugar, and about four pounds in the best weight trial, most of it back within a month of stopping.

8people actually given erythritolMAYBEPreliminary

Is Erythritol Bad For You? The One Sweetener Worth Watching

A cartoon heap of coarse sweetener crystals, beside the figure 8

The 2023 study linking erythritol to heart attacks came with a real mechanism — more reactive platelets, more clotting in animals. But the cohorts measured erythritol in blood, not diet, and your body makes its own: plasma levels track metabolic disease and fall after weight loss. Marker or cause is genuinely unresolved.

39stevia trials, against aspartame's 121MAYBEPreliminary

Is Stevia Bad For You? “Natural” Is Not a Safety Category

Cartoon serrated stevia leaf on a stem, beside the figure 39

The WHO guideline covers 'all synthetic and naturally occurring' sweeteners and names stevia in the same list as aspartame — natural is written out as an exemption on purpose. And stevia has about a third the randomised trial evidence of aspartame, so the confidence people feel about it is not coming from a deeper evidence base.

2.3 lblost swapping sugar for sweetenerMAYBEPreliminary

Are Artificial Sweeteners Bad For You? The WHO Hedged — Here’s Why

Cartoon sweetener sachet torn open at the top with grains spilling out, beside the figure 2.3 pounds

The WHO advises against non-sugar sweeteners — as a conditional recommendation, on evidence it grades low certainty, from a harm signal that is observational, in a document that names reverse causation itself. Meanwhile 17 randomised trials found swapping sugary drinks for sweetened ones took off 2.3 lb, while swapping for water did nothing.

94%of the disagreement is real, not chanceMAYBEPreliminary

Does Coffee Help You Lose Weight? A Little — Nobody Knows How Much

Cartoon green coffee bean with its crease down the middle, beside the figure 94 percent

13 trials, 606 people, and a real dose-response — but an I-squared of 94%, meaning the trials flatly disagree, and no figure you could act on. Meanwhile the famous green coffee claim of 17.7 lb 'with or without diet and exercise' came from a study whose weights were altered. It cost $3.5 million and was retracted.